Economic Commentary - HilltopSecurities

By Scott McIntyre, CFA

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Economic Commentary

Latest Insights

Consumer Spending Slows, but not Enough to Alter Fed Path

This morning’s September retail sales report indicates that consumer spending may be slowing down. The headline reading for retail and...

Markets Sag on Ugly Inflation Report

The September consumer price index (CPI) was expected to show an inflation rate still much too hot for Fed officials...

Scattered Signs of Labor Softness Not Enough to Dissuade Fed

Nonfarm payrolls rose by +263k in September, the smallest increase of the year, but not nearly weak enough for Fed...

Economic Summary – Q3 2022

The focus of the third quarter remained squarely on inflation. The year-over-year headline consumer price index (CPI) appears to have...

Mixed Data Adds to Market Volatility

Earlier this week, the ISM factory survey showed U.S. purchasing managers are feeling the pinch of higher interest rates and...

Uncertainty Reigns and Financial Markets Struggle

Stocks continue to sell-off as discouraged investors retreat to the sidelines. The big-chip DOW and the broad-market S&P500 both reached...

Fed Goes 75 Once Again With More to Come

This afternoon as expected the FOMC raised the overnight funds rate by 75 basis points, bringing the target range to...

Consumer Spending Slows as Fed Meeting Approaches

Retail sales unexpectedly increased by +0.3% in August, above the median forecast for an unchanged reading. Although this follows a...

Uncomfortably Hot August CPI Report Increases Pressure on Fed

The headline consumer price index rose +0.1% in August, above the expected -0.1% decline and following an unchanged reading in...

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